Population forecast

Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.

 

Our assumption on fertility and mortality are based on experiences from the period 2008 – 2012, while assumptions on migration are based on the latest 10-year period.

 

Summary table 9.1. Population 2014-2022

	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Total	56.341	56.326	56.293	56.253	56.216	56.164	56.105	56.048	55.975
Persons born in Greenland	50.050	49.999	49.953	49.903	49.857	49.807	49.744	49.676	49.596
Persons born outside Greenland	6.291	6.327	6.340	6.350	6.359	6.357	6.361	6.372	6.379

Source: Statistics Greenland, http://bank.stat.gl/BEEP2013

 

I summary table 9.1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEEP2013 . The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, are expected to decrease steadily from 50,101 persons in 2013 to 49,596 persons in 2022. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ are expected to increase from 6,269 persons in 2013 to 6,379 in 2022. The total population will keep status quo over the next decade.